São Paulo vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 1
RIV
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
SAO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
4 - 5
ATM
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |