São Paulo vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
AGU
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
OES
31%
23%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 3
SAN
8%
19%
74%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 2
NOV
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |