São Paulo vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 2
SAO
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
LIB
0 - 0
TEM
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
AME
0 - 0
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
0 - 2
SAO
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |