São Paulo vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
VAS
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
COT
3 - 4
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
FFL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 0
COT
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BAH
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
25%
26%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |