São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATM
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
COR
3 - 2
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |