São Mateus vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
DES
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECT
76%
14%
9%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
4 - 2
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
REA
1 - 3
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
LIN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ECT
2 - 0
REA
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |