Capixaba Round 1

São Mateus vs Linhares analysis

São Mateus Linhares
50 ELO 54
-4.3% Tilt -1.3%
23922º General ELO ranking 10457º
724º Country ELO ranking 431º
ELO win probability
39.9%
São Mateus
24.1%
Draw
36.1%
Linhares

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
São Mateus
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36%
Win probability
Linhares
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

São Mateus
Linhares
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Mateus
São Mateus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2005
EST
Estrela do Norte
0 - 0
São Mateus
SAO
46%
23%
31%
50 49 1 0
04 Jun. 2005
SAO
São Mateus
1 - 1
Estrela do Norte
EST
51%
22%
27%
51 49 2 -1
29 May. 2005
VFC
Vilavelhense
1 - 3
São Mateus
SAO
38%
23%
38%
50 45 5 +1
26 May. 2005
SAO
São Mateus
2 - 2
Colatina
COL
26%
23%
51%
49 60 11 +1
20 May. 2005
SER
Serra FC
3 - 4
São Mateus
SAO
69%
18%
13%
48 57 9 +1

Matches

Linhares
Linhares
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1999
LIN
Linhares
0 - 3
Atlético GO
ATL
29%
27%
45%
55 65 10 0
18 Feb. 1998
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Linhares
LIN
89%
9%
2%
55 82 27 0
10 Feb. 1998
LIN
Linhares
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
6%
16%
78%
55 82 27 0
03 Feb. 1998
ARN
América RN
1 - 1
Linhares
LIN
71%
18%
10%
54 69 15 +1
29 Jan. 1998
LIN
Linhares
0 - 0
América RN
ARN
19%
23%
58%
54 69 15 0