São Mateus vs Aracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REA
3 - 3
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARA
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
RES
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |