AR São Martinho vs Pedras Salgadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
29
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
SMA
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GON
0 - 2
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
SMA
41%
29%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 1
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pedras Salgadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PED
1 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PED
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PED
1 - 0
MIR
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
PED
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |