Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
São José vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
MAR
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |