São José vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 3
COM
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLA
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 2
MAT
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 2
FLA
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |