São José vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
FER
3 - 1
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SPO
4 - 1
FER
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -2 |