CA Joseense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SJS
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
SJS
6 - 0
FLA
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
0 - 1
AGU
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
SJS
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TAU
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |