CA Joseense vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
SJS
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
SJS
86%
11%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
0 - 1
ITA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
2 - 0
SVA
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
SJS
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
VOT
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |