São João Ver vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
10º
7º
35
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ANA
2 - 2
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
4 - 1
FAF
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 0
TRO
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
SAO
40%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
TRO
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
VAR
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |