São João da Barra vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João da Barra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
CER
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
6 - 1
RBC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 2
AUD
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 3
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 4
AUD
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 0
TIG
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |