Sao Gonçalo RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Gonçalo RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ALE
4 - 0
SGO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SGO
0 - 2
COR
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 0
SGO
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SGO
1 - 4
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GEC
2 - 2
SGO
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
ABC
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
GEC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
PEC
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |