São Gonçalo RJ vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 5
SAO
21%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAD
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |