São Gabriel vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LAJ
0 - 0
SGA
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 0
SGA
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SGA
0 - 0
PEL
29%
26%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAJ
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |