São Domingos Mértola vs Penedo Gordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Domingos Mértola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
SDM
71%
17%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DES
2 - 0
SDM
69%
18%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SDM
1 - 0
BER
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SDM
1 - 3
AMA
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
SDM
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Penedo Gordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PGO
3 - 0
AMA
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PGO
2 - 2
SAL
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DBE
2 - 2
PGO
41%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
PGO
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PGO
5 - 1
MOU
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |