Paulista A3 Normal Season Round 17

São Carlos vs Flamengo SP analysis

São Carlos Flamengo SP
49 ELO 53
-16.6% Tilt -6.7%
10029º General ELO ranking 8663º
414º Country ELO ranking 365º
ELO win probability
35%
São Carlos
26.5%
Draw
38.5%
Flamengo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
São Carlos
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.5%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Carlos
-16%
-19%
Flamengo SP

ELO progression

São Carlos
Flamengo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Carlos
São Carlos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2016
MAT
Matonense
3 - 0
São Carlos
SAO
50%
23%
27%
51 52 1 0
19 Mar. 2016
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
1 - 2
São Carlos
SAO
42%
27%
31%
49 49 0 +2
16 Mar. 2016
SAO
São Carlos
0 - 0
Catanduvense
CAT
44%
27%
29%
49 48 1 0
13 Mar. 2016
OLI
Olímpia FC
0 - 0
São Carlos
SAO
34%
27%
40%
50 45 5 -1
09 Mar. 2016
SAO
São Carlos
2 - 1
São José
SAO
52%
26%
23%
50 44 6 0

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2016
SAO
São José
1 - 3
Flamengo SP
FLA
34%
25%
41%
51 45 6 0
20 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo SP
5 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
76%
16%
8%
51 23 28 0
16 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo SP
1 - 0
Rio Preto
RIO
33%
25%
43%
50 53 3 +1
12 Mar. 2016
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
61%
21%
18%
49 54 5 +1
09 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
50%
25%
25%
49 47 2 0