São Caetano vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
VAS
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
IFC
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |