São Caetano vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
SAO
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEC
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CRI
0 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |