São Caetano vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAC
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
DUQ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 3
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CGA
0 - 2
MAD
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |