Série A Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
São Caetano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 0
SAO
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 2
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 1
SCI
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 1
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 0
SAO
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PPE
2 - 3
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
PAY
3 - 2
FLU
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 3
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |