São Caetano vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 2
COR
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 2
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAH
0 - 3
COR
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
BAH
3 - 2
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ABC
5 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
AVA
4 - 1
BAH
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 0
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |