Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
São Caetano vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BER
2 - 4
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
COM
1 - 3
BSP
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BSP
0 - 1
SER
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BSP
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
BSP
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |