São Caetano vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
3 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ATI
1 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 2
ATI
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ATI
1 - 1
SAO
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
XVD
0 - 0
ATI
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |