São Caetano vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
AUD
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
SJS
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 0
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
JEC
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
GOI
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
ABC
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 1
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |