São Bernardo FC vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 3
SAO
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
ARN
48%
29%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAO
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
TOC
66%
23%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |