Sanvicenteño vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAD
5 - 0
SNV
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SNV
2 - 2
PUE
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SNV
4 - 1
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EXT
3 - 0
SNV
86%
11%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 2
AZU
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
CDZ
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDB
0 - 0
HER
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
PLA
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
4 - 1
HER
85%
12%
4%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
PUE
18%
24%
58%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |