Apertura Costa Rica Temporada Regular round 21

Santos de Guápiles vs Carmelita analysis

Santos de Guápiles Carmelita
69 ELO 65
-3% Tilt 7.5%
2343º General ELO ranking 5391º
13º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Santos de Guápiles
26%
Draw
24.4%
Carmelita

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
Santos de Guápiles
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.4%
Win probability
Carmelita
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos de Guápiles
+28%
-4%
Carmelita

ELO progression

Santos de Guápiles
Carmelita
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos de Guápiles
Santos de Guápiles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2016
UNI
UCR
0 - 1
Santos de Guápiles
SAN
44%
26%
30%
68 68 0 0
30 Oct. 2016
SAN
Santos de Guápiles
1 - 2
Limón
LFC
54%
25%
22%
68 63 5 0
23 Oct. 2016
SAP
Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 0
Santos de Guápiles
SAN
61%
21%
18%
69 75 6 -1
16 Oct. 2016
SAN
Santos de Guápiles
2 - 1
Municipal Liberia
MUN
56%
25%
19%
69 63 6 0
09 Oct. 2016
BEL
Belén Siglo XXI
0 - 4
Santos de Guápiles
SAN
46%
26%
28%
67 68 1 +2

Matches

Carmelita
Carmelita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2016
ADC
Carmelita
1 - 3
LD Alajuelense
LDA
31%
28%
41%
66 75 9 0
30 Oct. 2016
MUN
Municipal Liberia
1 - 0
Carmelita
ADC
42%
26%
32%
67 63 4 -1
26 Oct. 2016
ADC
Carmelita
1 - 0
Pérez Zeledón
PER
42%
27%
31%
66 68 2 +1
16 Oct. 2016
LFC
Limón
0 - 3
Carmelita
ADC
48%
25%
27%
65 65 0 +1
12 Oct. 2016
ADC
Carmelita
0 - 0
San Carlos
SAN
53%
24%
23%
65 59 6 0