Santos FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 5
SAN
4%
12%
85%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAN
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
BOL
4 - 3
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
AME
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
COR
0 - 2
SAO
7%
17%
76%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
30%
29%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 4
SAO
35%
28%
38%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |