Paulista A1 Round 13

Santos FC vs Mirassol FC analysis

Santos FC Mirassol FC
86 ELO 59
4.9% Tilt 5.2%
121º General ELO ranking 182º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
83.9%
Santos FC
11.7%
Draw
4.5%
Mirassol FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
Santos FC
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.5%
Win probability
Mirassol FC
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos FC
-8%
+5%
Mirassol FC

ELO progression

Santos FC
Mirassol FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
78%
14%
7%
85 66 19 0
10 Mar. 2013
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
1 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
13%
22%
65%
85 59 26 0
03 Mar. 2013
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
50%
25%
25%
85 87 2 0
24 Feb. 2013
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
92%
6%
2%
85 61 24 0
17 Feb. 2013
PPE
Ponte Preta
3 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
26%
25%
49%
86 77 9 -1

Matches

Mirassol FC
Mirassol FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
MIR
Mirassol FC
3 - 4
São Bernardo FC
SAO
45%
25%
29%
60 62 2 0
10 Mar. 2013
MIR
Mirassol FC
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
33%
25%
43%
59 66 7 +1
01 Mar. 2013
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
2 - 2
Mirassol FC
MIR
53%
23%
25%
59 61 2 0
23 Feb. 2013
MIR
Mirassol FC
3 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
29%
24%
47%
58 67 9 +1
16 Feb. 2013
MIR
Mirassol FC
4 - 3
Botafogo SP
BOT
36%
25%
39%
57 62 5 +1