Santos FC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2004 |
LDU
4 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
47%
24%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |