Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
SRP
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
SFC
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
LOS
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
ALF
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
FCS
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
PIR
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |