Santos FC vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
INT
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KAB
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PET
0 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
ADS
55%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 1
REC
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ONZ
2 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 0
CRD
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 1
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
NDB
2 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |