Santos AP vs Macapá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
SPM
0 - 5
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
IAP
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
0 - 1
TDC
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 4
ECM
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ECM
3 - 4
SEC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |