Paulista A2 Semi-finals

Global 4-3

Santo André vs Água Santa analysis

Santo André Água Santa
58 ELO 55
-17.2% Tilt -20.1%
3419º General ELO ranking 1933º
94º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
37.4%
Santo André
26.8%
Draw
35.9%
Água Santa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
Santo André
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.9%
Win probability
Água Santa
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santo André
-19%
-12%
Água Santa

ELO progression

Santo André
Água Santa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2019
RIO
Rio Claro
1 - 2
Santo André
SAN
51%
26%
24%
56 59 3 0
03 Apr. 2019
SAN
Santo André
0 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
36%
27%
37%
57 58 1 -1
30 Mar. 2019
SAN
Santo André
2 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
44%
27%
29%
56 54 2 +1
24 Mar. 2019
JUV
CA Juventus
0 - 1
Santo André
SAN
39%
28%
33%
55 54 1 +1
19 Mar. 2019
SER
Sertãozinho
1 - 1
Santo André
SAN
47%
26%
27%
55 56 1 0

Matches

Água Santa
Água Santa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
AGU
Água Santa
2 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
39%
26%
35%
55 55 0 0
03 Apr. 2019
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 5
Água Santa
AGU
49%
25%
26%
53 57 4 +2
30 Mar. 2019
LIN
Linense CA
0 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
33%
26%
41%
53 49 4 0
23 Mar. 2019
AGU
Água Santa
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
32%
25%
42%
54 56 2 -1
20 Mar. 2019
AGU
Água Santa
1 - 0
Penapolense
PEN
53%
24%
23%
53 48 5 +1