EMD Santillana vs Ayrón Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 1
DEV
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
REO
1 - 3
SAN
10%
19%
72%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
VEL
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ayrón Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 0
COL
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
2 - 2
AYR
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 3
REO
70%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
AYR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
MER
39%
25%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |