Santiago Morning vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
UCO
5 - 3
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACS
38%
23%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 3
COL
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
DLS
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
DLS
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 1
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |