Santarcangelo vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
BV5
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASG
1 - 2
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAN
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
SSS
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
MES
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 2
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FON
3 - 1
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |