Santarcangelo vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ISE
1 - 1
SAN
12%
20%
67%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAM
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
JES
2 - 1
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAV
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
ASD
78%
13%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 0
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |