Santana vs Ypiranga AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPM
1 - 2
SEC
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 1
ORC
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
TDC
3 - 2
SEC
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
TDC
3 - 0
SEC
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
5 - 0
SEC
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
2 - 1
IAP
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
YAP
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 2
ECM
59%
24%
17%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 1
YAP
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 1
FAS
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |