Santana vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 3
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 4
MAC
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SEC
2 - 2
IAP
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 4
ORC
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 3
TDC
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
4 - 0
SPM
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 0
SPM
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
YAP
2 - 2
SPM
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SPM
2 - 2
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |