Santacruzense vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
ASS
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TAN
2 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
VOC
14%
25%
61%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUP
1 - 0
OLI
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ASS
2 - 3
TUP
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TUP
0 - 4
TAN
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUP
1 - 0
COL
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
TUP
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |