Santacruzense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 5
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
SAL
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
GRÊ
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |