Paulista B First Stage Round 11

Santacruzense vs Assisense analysis

Santacruzense Assisense
35 ELO 28
-11.3% Tilt 1.1%
11360º General ELO ranking 10074º
438º Country ELO ranking 417º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Santacruzense
23.5%
Draw
21.6%
Assisense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
Santacruzense
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
Assisense
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santacruzense
+84%
-12%
Assisense

ELO progression

Santacruzense
Assisense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santacruzense
Santacruzense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2019
ELO
Elosport
1 - 6
Santacruzense
SAN
19%
20%
61%
34 24 10 0
26 May. 2019
SAN
Santacruzense
1 - 1
Itararé
AAI
43%
24%
34%
34 35 1 0
12 May. 2019
SAN
Santacruzense
0 - 0
Vocem
VOC
53%
23%
24%
34 32 2 0
04 May. 2019
MAR
Marília
1 - 1
Santacruzense
SAN
67%
20%
13%
34 45 11 0
28 Apr. 2019
ASS
Assisense
2 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
20%
23%
57%
36 25 11 -2

Matches

Assisense
Assisense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2019
VOC
Vocem
0 - 0
Assisense
ASS
47%
25%
28%
28 32 4 0
26 May. 2019
ASS
Assisense
3 - 1
Elosport
ELO
40%
24%
36%
27 25 2 +1
12 May. 2019
ASS
Assisense
0 - 1
Marília
MAR
18%
23%
59%
28 45 17 -1
05 May. 2019
AAI
Itararé
0 - 0
Assisense
ASS
48%
23%
29%
28 34 6 0
28 Apr. 2019
ASS
Assisense
2 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
20%
23%
57%
25 36 11 +3