Santa Tecla vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALI
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAS
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAS
0 - 3
SAN
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
FIR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 3
IND
26%
22%
53%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 4
FAS
29%
29%
43%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FIR
1 - 2
MUN
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
FIR
0 - 0
CDM
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |