UD Morón vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDT
2 - 1
MOR
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 2
ROC
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
MOR
39%
25%
36%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDP
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LCF
1 - 0
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 2
UDB
37%
23%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAI
3 - 2
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
SOL
66%
18%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |